Georgia vs Ukraine: betting odds 16 Nov 2024

The match of the 5th round of the UEFA Nations League between the national teams of Georgia and Ukraine in Group 1 of League B will take place on November 16 at the Batumi Arena. Georgia vs Ukraine: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Probable line-ups for the match Georgia vs Ukraine

Georgia national team (3-5-2): Giorgi Mamardashvili – Otar Kakabadze, Guram Kashia, Giorgi Gocholishvili – Luka Lochoshvili, Giorgi Gvelesiani, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Otar Kiteishvili, Giorgi Kochorashvili – Giorgi Mikautadze, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

Ukraine national team (4-1-4-1): Anatoliy Trubin – Vitaliy Mykolenko, Illya Zabarnyi, Mykola Matviyenko, Yefim Konoplya – Ivan Kalyuzhny – Oleksiy Gutsulyak, Georgiy Sudakov, Mykola Shaparenko, Mykhailo Mudryk – Artem Dovbyk.

Georgia national team

The Caucasians kicked off their current Nations League campaign with two consecutive victories. The Georgians thrashed the Czechs at home (4:1) and also defeated the Albanians away (1:0). However, the October matches did not go as well – the team lost on neutral ground to Ukraine and at home to Albania (both by a score of 0:1). As a result, Willy Sagnol's charges dropped to second place in the quartet, trailing the leading Czechs by just one point. Georgia will secure themselves against direct relegation to League C if they win in the fifth round.

Defender Lasha Dvali will miss the game due to suspension.

  • At least one team failed to score in 6 out of 8 of Georgia's previous matches in this tournament.
  • In the last 11 Nations League encounters, the Caucasians have conceded only one first-half goal.

Ukraine national team

On the contrary, the Ukrainians had a disappointing run in the September Nations League matches. The team lost to the Albanians (1:2) and the Czechs (2:3). However, in October, Serhiy Rebrov's men overcame Georgia (1:0) and drew with the Czech Republic (1:1). Currently, Ukraine is in last place in the quartet with 4 points but is only 3 points behind the leader. If the team loses and the Albanians defeat the Czechs in another match, the Ukrainians will be relegated to League C.

  • The national team did not win in 6 out of the previous 8 LN encounters (3 draws and 3 losses).
  • A maximum of three goals were scored in 8 out of the last 10 of Ukraine's matches in this tournament.
  • Away from home in the Nations League, the Ukrainians tend to play uncompromising football – 3 wins and 5 losses.

Georgia vs Ukraine: match prediction

I assume that after the fifth-round matches in Group 1, neither the winner nor the runner-up will be determined. The situation in the quartet is so complicated that all positions will be definitively settled in the final round. In the upcoming match, I give preference to a bet on a draw.

As the matches last month showed, Georgia is not flawless. The team can also remain without scoring and lose at home. It’s worth noting that previously, playing in League C and even in the third-tier division, the team dropped points in home matches. I'd highlight the compromised results with Bulgaria, Estonia, and North Macedonia. There was also a home defeat to Armenia. Overall, the Georgians only really made an impact in the match against the Czechs.

The Ukrainians have not yet played a draw away in this tournament. But I think that this could happen now. After all, by ranking, Ukraine is above Georgia, but it is unlikely to win away given its current form. A draw would suit not only Serhiy Rebrov's charges but also the hosts – albeit partially.

My prediction is a Draw with the odds of .

Author:

Betting tips 16 Nov 2024

In one of the most intriguing groups of the Nations League group stage, a pivotal stretch begins. Georgia lead Ukraine by two points before this head-to-head clash, with both teams having the potential to top the table, though defeats could see either relegated to League C.

Following two impressive victories in September, October brought a scoring drought for Georgia. Against both Ukraine and Albania (both 0:1), the team were forced to take the initiative as their opponents ceded control and cut off counter-attack opportunities. Over 180 minutes, Georgia generated just 2.01 xG and managed only seven shots on target, never really threatening. Despite this, they are unlikely to deviate from their three-defender system (3-5-2).

Ukraine's failure in the Euro 2024 group stage prompted a more cautious approach in their own half. The creative core featuring Georgiy Sudakov, Mykola Shaparenko, and Mykhailo Mudryk remains irreplaceable in the starting lineup, but they have seldom delivered in attack. In two matches in October, Ukraine played to a total under 2.5 goals—holding the Czech Republic to a 1:1 draw but only producing three shots on target.

A month after their first meeting, Georgia and Ukraine are not expected to take risks in the second leg. We recommend betting on a total under, as both teams are likely to create few chances, with the match not expected to produce more than two goals.

Betting prediction
Total Under 2.5
Cf
Odds
7/10
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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Georgia
14.10.24
Georgia
Albania
L
11.10.24
Ukraine
Georgia
L
10.09.24
Albania
Georgia
W
07.09.24
Georgia
Czech Republic
W
More matches
Ukraine
14.10.24
Ukraine
Czech Republic
D
11.10.24
Ukraine
Georgia
W
10.09.24
Czech Republic
Ukraine
L
07.09.24
Ukraine
Albania
L
More matches

H2H: Georgia — Ukraine

Nations League 2024-2025
11.10.24
Ukraine
Georgia
Friendlies 2014-2015
09.06.15
Georgia
Ukraine
1
:
2

Group stage

League B. Group 1
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Czech Republic
  3:2 2:1 2:0 6 3 2 1
9:8
11
2
Ukraine
1:1   1:0 1:2 6 2 2 2
8:8
8
3
Georgia
4:1 1:1   0:1 6 2 1 3
7:6
7
4
Albania
0:0 1:2 0:1   6 2 1 3
4:6
7

Team lineups

Georgia

Willy Sagnol
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Giorgi Loria
gk. 78 -85
Giorgi Mamardashvili
gk. 25 -38
Luka Gugeshashvili
gk. 1 0
Guram Kashia
df. 121 3
Solomon Kvirkvelia
df. 61 0
Luka Lochoshvili
df. 18 1
Giorgi Gocholeishvili
df. 9 0
George Gvelesiani
df. 7 0
Aleksandre Kalandadze
df. 2 0
Otar Kakabadze
mf. 69 0
Nika Kvekveskiri
mf. 61 0
Otar Kiteishvili
mf. 43 3
Saba Lobjanidze
mf. 37 3
Giorgi Chakvetadze
mf. 33 9
Anzor Mekvabishvili
mf. 17 0
Giorgi Kochorashvili
mf. 15 2
Zurab Davitashvili
fw. 43 6
Khvicha Kvarackhelija
fw. 38 17
Georges Mikautadze
fw. 33 14
Budu Zivzivadze
fw. 32 8
Heorhiy Tsitaishvili
fw. 22 1
Levan Shengelia
fw. 19 1
Ukraine

Serhiy Rebrov
coach
Player Matches Goals
In squad
Heorhiy Bushchan
gk. 18 -30
Anatoliy Trubin
gk. 17 -20
Dmytro Riznyk
gk. 2 -1
Mykola Matviyenko
df. 72 0
Oleksandr Zinchenko
df. 68 9
Vitaliy Mikolenko
df. 44 1
Illia Zabarnyi
df. 43 1
Yukhym Konoplia
df. 18 2
Maksym Taloverov
df. 6 0
Valeriy Bondar
df. 4 0
Mykola Shaparenko
mf. 38 2
Alexandr Zubkov
mf. 36 2
Heorhii Sudakov
mf. 24 3
Volodymyr Brazhko
mf. 8 0
Alex Gutsulyak
mf. 3 0
Dmytro Kryskiv
mf. 2 0
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi
mf. 2 0
Oleksandr Nazarenko
mf. 1 0
Oleksii Sych
mf. 0 0
Yegor Yarmolyuk
mf. 0 0
Roman Yaremchuk
fw. 57 16
Artem Dovbik
fw. 33 11
Mykhailo Mudryk
fw. 26 3

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Andy H
Andy H
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